Festival Weather Odds

City and folk festivals

11 large city and folk festivals in Europe with at least 10 dated editions since 1991, with the share of rainy festival days from ERA5 (1991–2025); the driest is San Fermín (16% of days with rain).

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1991–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

EventCountryUsual datesShare of rainy daysDay ≥ 30 °CEditions
Basel Carnival (Basler Fasnacht)SwitzerlandSwitzerland27 February – 1 March48%0%33
Bloomsday (Dublin)IrelandIreland16 June36%0%33
Carnival of BincheBelgiumBelgium19–21 February41%0%33
Cologne Carnival (street carnival)GermanyGermany16–21 February42%0%33
Falles (Fallas of Valencia)SpainSpain14–19 March17%0%33
Kiel WeekGermanyGermany19–27 June46%6%33
La TomatinaSpainSpain28 August18%61%33
Notting Hill CarnivalUnited KingdomUnited Kingdom27–28 August21%3%33
OktoberfestGermanyGermany19 September – 4 October41%3%30
San FermínSpainSpain6–14 July16%79%33
Street Parade (Zürich)SwitzerlandSwitzerland11 August39%14%28

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

How we calculate