Oktoberfest: what was the weather like at past editions?
Across 30 editions of Oktoberfest from 1994 to 2025, 41% of festival days had rain (≥ 1 mm), and a day of 30 °C or more came at 1 of 30 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.
30 / 30editions with at least one rainy day
41%of festival days rainy
1 / 30editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
0 °C (2002)coldest night
42 mmmedian rain per edition
Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.
Climate of the usual dates
If the next edition falls on its usual dates (19 September – 4 October), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:
- 40% — share of rainy days
- 17 °C — average daily maximum
- 3% — chance of a day of 30 °C or more
- 94% — chance of a night below 8 °C
Average daily maximum on these dates: 17.2 °C in 1991–2005, 17.5 °C in 2011–2025.
Weather at past editions
| Year | Dates | Rainy days | Rain | Max | Night min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 September – 5 October | 8 / 16 | 44 mm | 30 °C | 0 °C |
| 2024 | 21 September – 6 October | 11 / 16 | 58 mm | 22 °C | 3 °C |
| 2023 | 16 September – 3 October | 4 / 18 | 25 mm | 26 °C | 7 °C |
| 2022 | 17 September – 3 October | 11 / 17 | 102 mm | 18 °C | 2 °C |
| 2019 | 21 September – 6 October | 9 / 16 | 65 mm | 22 °C | 3 °C |
| 2018 | 22 September – 7 October | 4 / 16 | 39 mm | 24 °C | 2 °C |
| 2017 | 16 September – 3 October | 8 / 18 | 39 mm | 20 °C | 6 °C |
| 2016 | 17 September – 3 October | 6 / 17 | 67 mm | 24 °C | 5 °C |
| 2015 | 19 September – 4 October | 3 / 16 | 27 mm | 21 °C | 4 °C |
| 2014 | 20 September – 5 October | 6 / 16 | 46 mm | 22 °C | 2 °C |
| 2013 | 21 September – 6 October | 4 / 16 | 25 mm | 22 °C | 2 °C |
| 2012 | 22 September – 7 October | 7 / 16 | 46 mm | 23 °C | 6 °C |
| 2011 | 17 September – 3 October | 3 / 17 | 34 mm | 25 °C | 6 °C |
| 2010 | 18 September – 3 October | 5 / 16 | 34 mm | 23 °C | 4 °C |
| 2009 | 19 September – 4 October | 1 / 16 | 3 mm | 23 °C | 6 °C |
| 2008 | 20 September – 5 October | 8 / 16 | 32 mm | 16 °C | 2 °C |
| 2007 | 22 September – 7 October | 8 / 16 | 56 mm | 23 °C | 6 °C |
| 2006 | 16 September – 3 October | 8 / 18 | 51 mm | 24 °C | 9 °C |
| 2005 | 17 September – 3 October | 7 / 17 | 57 mm | 21 °C | 6 °C |
| 2004 | 18 September – 3 October | 11 / 16 | 58 mm | 22 °C | 5 °C |
| 2003 | 20 September – 5 October | 8 / 16 | 60 mm | 28 °C | 4 °C |
| 2002 | 21 September – 6 October | 11 / 16 | 87 mm | 18 °C | 0 °C |
| 2001 | 22 September – 7 October | 8 / 16 | 29 mm | 26 °C | 5 °C |
| 2000 | 16 September – 3 October | 8 / 18 | 107 mm | 23 °C | 6 °C |
| 1999 | 18 September – 3 October | 10 / 16 | 77 mm | 24 °C | 7 °C |
| 1998 | 19 September – 4 October | 6 / 16 | 22 mm | 20 °C | 4 °C |
| 1997 | 20 September – 5 October | 3 / 16 | 17 mm | 21 °C | 4 °C |
| 1996 | 21 September – 6 October | 5 / 16 | 25 mm | 24 °C | 2 °C |
| 1995 | 16 September – 3 October | 5 / 18 | 35 mm | 20 °C | 4 °C |
| 1994 | 17 September – 3 October | 7 / 17 | 40 mm | 25 °C | 3 °C |
How to read these numbers
- ERA5 is a reanalysis on a 0.25° grid (about 25 km): it counts slightly more light-rain days than nearby weather stations (by about 5–7 percentage points) and gives daytime highs about 1–2.5 °C below station readings, so real hot days were hotter than shown here.
- Edition window: the official programme days (main festival days, without camping or warm-up days before the start).
- Dates of past editions follow the rule described in Wikipedia (de: Oktoberfest): “Traditionell beginnt es am Samstag nach dem 15. September”. We applied it to 1994–2025, leaving out 2020–21 (cancelled or held differently).
Dates and sources
Coordinates: 48.133, 11.550; ERA5 cell centred at 48.25, 11.50 (average ground height of the cell 501 m).