Festival Weather Odds

Falles (Fallas of Valencia): what was the weather like at past editions?

At 14 of 33 editions of Falles (Fallas of Valencia) from 1991 to 2025 (42%), at least one festival day had rain (≥ 1 mm); a day of 30 °C or more came at 0 of 33 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1991–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

14 / 33editions with at least one rainy day
17%of festival days rainy
0 / 33editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
4 °C (2010)coldest night
0 mmmedian rain per edition

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Climate of the usual dates

If the next edition falls on its usual dates (14–19 March), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 19.5 °C in 1991–2005, 18.8 °C in 2011–2025.

Weather at past editions

YearDatesRainy daysRainMaxNight min
202514–19 March5 / 642 mm17 °C6 °C
202414–19 March0 / 60 mm26 °C8 °C
202314–19 March0 / 60 mm26 °C9 °C
202214–19 March5 / 638 mm16 °C12 °C
201914–19 March0 / 60 mm29 °C9 °C
201814–19 March1 / 65 mm20 °C9 °C
201714–19 March0 / 60 mm23 °C8 °C
201614–19 March3 / 622 mm20 °C8 °C
201514–19 March3 / 624 mm16 °C5 °C
201414–19 March0 / 60 mm25 °C8 °C
201314–19 March0 / 60 mm21 °C8 °C
201214–19 March0 / 60 mm22 °C6 °C
201114–19 March2 / 68 mm22 °C10 °C
201014–19 March0 / 60 mm18 °C4 °C
200914–19 March0 / 60 mm22 °C7 °C
200814–19 March0 / 60 mm25 °C10 °C
200714–19 March0 / 60 mm23 °C7 °C
200614–19 March1 / 66 mm20 °C8 °C
200514–19 March0 / 61 mm18 °C6 °C
200414–19 March2 / 66 mm19 °C11 °C
200314–19 March2 / 66 mm19 °C6 °C
200214–19 March2 / 629 mm25 °C8 °C
200114–19 March0 / 60 mm25 °C9 °C
200014–19 March1 / 64 mm26 °C9 °C
199914–19 March2 / 610 mm22 °C11 °C
199814–19 March0 / 60 mm23 °C6 °C
199714–19 March0 / 60 mm26 °C10 °C
199614–19 March2 / 68 mm18 °C6 °C
199514–19 March0 / 60 mm24 °C7 °C
199414–19 March0 / 60 mm24 °C9 °C
199314–19 March2 / 622 mm21 °C8 °C
199214–19 March0 / 60 mm22 °C9 °C
199114–19 March0 / 60 mm22 °C9 °C

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 39.470, -0.376; ERA5 cell centred at 39.50, -0.50 (average ground height of the cell 201 m).