Festival Weather Odds

San Fermín: what was the weather like at past editions?

Across 33 editions of San Fermín from 1991 to 2025, 16% of festival days had rain (≥ 1 mm), and a day of 30 °C or more came at 26 of 33 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1991–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

24 / 33editions with at least one rainy day
16%of festival days rainy
26 / 33editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
9 °C (1993)coldest night
6 mmmedian rain per edition

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Climate of the usual dates

If the next edition falls on its usual dates (6–14 July), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 25.1 °C in 1991–2005, 27.0 °C in 2011–2025.

Weather at past editions

YearDatesRainy daysRainMaxNight min
20256–14 July2 / 923 mm33 °C12 °C
20246–14 July1 / 93 mm34 °C11 °C
20236–14 July2 / 98 mm37 °C16 °C
20226–14 July1 / 920 mm36 °C14 °C
20196–14 July3 / 922 mm32 °C13 °C
20186–14 July4 / 911 mm32 °C15 °C
20176–14 July1 / 96 mm33 °C15 °C
20166–14 July1 / 92 mm33 °C12 °C
20156–14 July0 / 90 mm37 °C12 °C
20146–14 July1 / 94 mm27 °C12 °C
20136–14 July3 / 99 mm32 °C15 °C
20126–14 July1 / 96 mm32 °C11 °C
20116–14 July2 / 96 mm33 °C10 °C
20106–14 July1 / 92 mm35 °C14 °C
20096–14 July0 / 90 mm33 °C12 °C
20086–14 July2 / 95 mm32 °C10 °C
20076–14 July0 / 90 mm32 °C12 °C
20066–14 July0 / 91 mm35 °C15 °C
20056–14 July0 / 90 mm35 °C13 °C
20046–14 July2 / 911 mm27 °C10 °C
20036–14 July0 / 92 mm36 °C13 °C
20026–14 July3 / 98 mm30 °C10 °C
20016–14 July3 / 919 mm29 °C11 °C
20006–14 July3 / 919 mm34 °C10 °C
19996–14 July2 / 94 mm29 °C14 °C
19986–14 July0 / 92 mm33 °C12 °C
19976–14 July2 / 910 mm30 °C11 °C
19966–14 July2 / 918 mm30 °C9 °C
19956–14 July2 / 910 mm32 °C12 °C
19946–14 July0 / 90 mm32 °C13 °C
19936–14 July2 / 99 mm31 °C9 °C
19926–14 July2 / 96 mm30 °C11 °C
19916–14 July0 / 91 mm35 °C11 °C

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 42.817, -1.650; ERA5 cell centred at 42.75, -1.75 (average ground height of the cell 613 m).