Festival Weather Odds

Ulm Christmas Market: how cold and wet are the evenings?

Ulm Christmas Market (from the Monday after the Sunday of the Dead to 22 December): over 35 seasons from 1991 to 2025, 36% of market evenings (17:00–21:00) had frost, 21% were wet (≥ 0.5 mm) and 13% had snowfall; at least one snowy evening came in 29 of 35 seasons. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus).

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1991–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

36%evenings with frost
21%wet evenings (≥ 0.5 mm)
13%evenings with snowfall
29 / 35seasons with a snowy evening
1.9 °Caverage evening temperature

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Evenings by week of the season

WeekFrostWetMean
135%17%2.4 °C
234%22%2.1 °C
338%23%1.6 °C
435%22%1.7 °C
546%26%1.5 °C

Seasons

YearDatesFrostWetSnowfallMean
202524 November – 22 December7 / 294 / 291 / 293.3 °C
202425 November – 22 December4 / 285 / 280 / 283.5 °C
202327 November – 22 December8 / 2612 / 264 / 262.4 °C
202221 November – 22 December13 / 326 / 324 / 320.7 °C
202122 November – 22 December17 / 317 / 316 / 311.0 °C
202023 November – 22 December13 / 306 / 305 / 301.5 °C
201925 November – 22 December8 / 287 / 282 / 283.7 °C
201826 November – 22 December8 / 279 / 273 / 273.5 °C
201727 November – 22 December9 / 268 / 269 / 261.1 °C
201621 November – 22 December12 / 320 / 320 / 322.0 °C
201523 November – 22 December5 / 302 / 300 / 304.5 °C
201424 November – 22 December1 / 295 / 291 / 294.1 °C
201325 November – 22 December8 / 283 / 284 / 281.6 °C
201226 November – 22 December14 / 2712 / 279 / 270.1 °C
201121 November – 22 December4 / 3210 / 327 / 323.5 °C
201022 November – 22 December18 / 3111 / 3111 / 31−1.6 °C
200923 November – 22 December11 / 306 / 303 / 301.7 °C
200824 November – 22 December15 / 295 / 297 / 290.5 °C
200726 November – 22 December10 / 275 / 273 / 271.6 °C
200627 November – 22 December3 / 265 / 260 / 264.3 °C
200521 November – 22 December19 / 327 / 3210 / 32−0.6 °C
200422 November – 22 December16 / 313 / 312 / 311.0 °C
200324 November – 22 December8 / 294 / 294 / 292.6 °C
200225 November – 22 December10 / 286 / 280 / 282.3 °C
200126 November – 22 December13 / 277 / 273 / 270.6 °C
200027 November – 22 December3 / 265 / 262 / 264.7 °C
199922 November – 22 December13 / 316 / 315 / 311.2 °C
199823 November – 22 December19 / 306 / 308 / 30−0.3 °C
199724 November – 22 December10 / 299 / 295 / 291.5 °C
199625 November – 22 December15 / 286 / 284 / 280.7 °C
199527 November – 22 December16 / 265 / 262 / 260.1 °C
199421 November – 22 December3 / 326 / 324 / 325.0 °C
199322 November – 22 December11 / 318 / 313 / 312.4 °C
199223 November – 22 December4 / 307 / 300 / 304.0 °C
199125 November – 22 December18 / 284 / 281 / 28−0.3 °C

How to read these numbers

„Ulm: Der Weihnachtsmarkt findet jedes Jahr ab Montag nach dem Totensonntag bis einschließlich 22“ — Wikipedia (de): Weihnachtsmarkt

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 48.398, 9.991; ERA5 cell centred at 48.50, 10.00 (average ground height of the cell 574 m).

How we calculate