Ulm Christmas Market: how cold and wet are the evenings?
Ulm Christmas Market (from the Monday after the Sunday of the Dead to 22 December): over 35 seasons from 1991 to 2025, 36% of market evenings (17:00–21:00) had frost, 21% were wet (≥ 0.5 mm) and 13% had snowfall; at least one snowy evening came in 29 of 35 seasons. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus).
36%evenings with frost
21%wet evenings (≥ 0.5 mm)
13%evenings with snowfall
29 / 35seasons with a snowy evening
1.9 °Caverage evening temperature
Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.
Evenings by week of the season
| Week | Frost | Wet | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35% | 17% | 2.4 °C |
| 2 | 34% | 22% | 2.1 °C |
| 3 | 38% | 23% | 1.6 °C |
| 4 | 35% | 22% | 1.7 °C |
| 5 | 46% | 26% | 1.5 °C |
Seasons
| Year | Dates | Frost | Wet | Snowfall | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 November – 22 December | 7 / 29 | 4 / 29 | 1 / 29 | 3.3 °C |
| 2024 | 25 November – 22 December | 4 / 28 | 5 / 28 | 0 / 28 | 3.5 °C |
| 2023 | 27 November – 22 December | 8 / 26 | 12 / 26 | 4 / 26 | 2.4 °C |
| 2022 | 21 November – 22 December | 13 / 32 | 6 / 32 | 4 / 32 | 0.7 °C |
| 2021 | 22 November – 22 December | 17 / 31 | 7 / 31 | 6 / 31 | 1.0 °C |
| 2020 | 23 November – 22 December | 13 / 30 | 6 / 30 | 5 / 30 | 1.5 °C |
| 2019 | 25 November – 22 December | 8 / 28 | 7 / 28 | 2 / 28 | 3.7 °C |
| 2018 | 26 November – 22 December | 8 / 27 | 9 / 27 | 3 / 27 | 3.5 °C |
| 2017 | 27 November – 22 December | 9 / 26 | 8 / 26 | 9 / 26 | 1.1 °C |
| 2016 | 21 November – 22 December | 12 / 32 | 0 / 32 | 0 / 32 | 2.0 °C |
| 2015 | 23 November – 22 December | 5 / 30 | 2 / 30 | 0 / 30 | 4.5 °C |
| 2014 | 24 November – 22 December | 1 / 29 | 5 / 29 | 1 / 29 | 4.1 °C |
| 2013 | 25 November – 22 December | 8 / 28 | 3 / 28 | 4 / 28 | 1.6 °C |
| 2012 | 26 November – 22 December | 14 / 27 | 12 / 27 | 9 / 27 | 0.1 °C |
| 2011 | 21 November – 22 December | 4 / 32 | 10 / 32 | 7 / 32 | 3.5 °C |
| 2010 | 22 November – 22 December | 18 / 31 | 11 / 31 | 11 / 31 | −1.6 °C |
| 2009 | 23 November – 22 December | 11 / 30 | 6 / 30 | 3 / 30 | 1.7 °C |
| 2008 | 24 November – 22 December | 15 / 29 | 5 / 29 | 7 / 29 | 0.5 °C |
| 2007 | 26 November – 22 December | 10 / 27 | 5 / 27 | 3 / 27 | 1.6 °C |
| 2006 | 27 November – 22 December | 3 / 26 | 5 / 26 | 0 / 26 | 4.3 °C |
| 2005 | 21 November – 22 December | 19 / 32 | 7 / 32 | 10 / 32 | −0.6 °C |
| 2004 | 22 November – 22 December | 16 / 31 | 3 / 31 | 2 / 31 | 1.0 °C |
| 2003 | 24 November – 22 December | 8 / 29 | 4 / 29 | 4 / 29 | 2.6 °C |
| 2002 | 25 November – 22 December | 10 / 28 | 6 / 28 | 0 / 28 | 2.3 °C |
| 2001 | 26 November – 22 December | 13 / 27 | 7 / 27 | 3 / 27 | 0.6 °C |
| 2000 | 27 November – 22 December | 3 / 26 | 5 / 26 | 2 / 26 | 4.7 °C |
| 1999 | 22 November – 22 December | 13 / 31 | 6 / 31 | 5 / 31 | 1.2 °C |
| 1998 | 23 November – 22 December | 19 / 30 | 6 / 30 | 8 / 30 | −0.3 °C |
| 1997 | 24 November – 22 December | 10 / 29 | 9 / 29 | 5 / 29 | 1.5 °C |
| 1996 | 25 November – 22 December | 15 / 28 | 6 / 28 | 4 / 28 | 0.7 °C |
| 1995 | 27 November – 22 December | 16 / 26 | 5 / 26 | 2 / 26 | 0.1 °C |
| 1994 | 21 November – 22 December | 3 / 32 | 6 / 32 | 4 / 32 | 5.0 °C |
| 1993 | 22 November – 22 December | 11 / 31 | 8 / 31 | 3 / 31 | 2.4 °C |
| 1992 | 23 November – 22 December | 4 / 30 | 7 / 30 | 0 / 30 | 4.0 °C |
| 1991 | 25 November – 22 December | 18 / 28 | 4 / 28 | 1 / 28 | −0.3 °C |
How to read these numbers
- Season window: from the Monday after the Sunday of the Dead to 22 December, as described in Wikipedia (de): Weihnachtsmarkt; we applied this rule to every season 1991–2025 as a climate window — past opening dates were not checked year by year.
- ERA5 is a reanalysis on a 0.25° grid (about 25 km): it counts slightly more light-rain days than nearby weather stations (by about 5–7 percentage points) and gives daytime highs about 1–2.5 °C below station readings, so real hot days were hotter than shown here.
„Ulm: Der Weihnachtsmarkt findet jedes Jahr ab Montag nach dem Totensonntag bis einschließlich 22“ — Wikipedia (de): Weihnachtsmarkt
Dates and sources
Coordinates: 48.398, 9.991; ERA5 cell centred at 48.50, 10.00 (average ground height of the cell 574 m).