Festival Weather Odds

Munich Christkindlmarkt: how cold and wet are the evenings?

Munich Christkindlmarkt (from the Monday before the first Sunday of Advent to 24 December (from 2026 it opens on the Friday before the Sunday of the Dead)): over 35 seasons from 1991 to 2025, 38% of market evenings (17:00–21:00) had frost, 23% were wet (≥ 0.5 mm) and 12% had snowfall; at least one snowy evening came in 30 of 35 seasons. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus).

How it works ↓

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1991–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

38%evenings with frost
23%wet evenings (≥ 0.5 mm)
12%evenings with snowfall
30 / 35seasons with a snowy evening
1.7 °Caverage evening temperature

Evenings by week of the season

WeekFrostWetMean
138%16%2.2 °C
236%21%1.9 °C
340%26%1.3 °C
440%26%1.5 °C
540%26%1.9 °C

Munich Christkindlmarkt is the frostiest of the ten Christmas markets on this site, and the cold here doesn't wait for the end of December: it holds from the first week to the last. A warm hat and gloves are needed on any evening of the season, not just in the run-up to Christmas.

Why it's colder here, and how often it snows

Frost falls on 38% of evenings, twice as often as in Frankfurt (19%); the average evening temperature is 1.7 °C. Week by week the share barely changes, 36–40%. The ERA5 reanalysis cell for Munich sits higher than for the other markets: 501 m on average. Snow fell on at least one evening in 30 of the 35 seasons; in 2010 there was snowfall on 10 of 33 evenings with an average of −1.3 °C. You can compare it with the other markets in the Christmas markets section.

2026: an early opening

The market runs from 20 November to 24 December 2026, closed on 22 November. Hours: Mon–Sat 10–21, Sun 10–20, 24 December 10–14. The early November evenings before the first Sunday of Advent were left out of the 1991–2025 calculation: this is past-season climate from ERA5, not a forecast (methodology).

Seasons

YearDatesFrostWetSnowfallMean
202524 November – 24 December11 / 315 / 312 / 312.0 °C
202425 November – 24 December7 / 306 / 302 / 302.7 °C
202327 November – 24 December11 / 2815 / 286 / 282.1 °C
202221 November – 24 December14 / 3410 / 347 / 341.2 °C
202122 November – 24 December14 / 3311 / 333 / 331.3 °C
202023 November – 24 December12 / 327 / 325 / 321.7 °C
201925 November – 24 December8 / 304 / 300 / 304.0 °C
201826 November – 24 December6 / 2913 / 294 / 293.6 °C
201727 November – 24 December8 / 288 / 286 / 281.5 °C
201621 November – 24 December15 / 341 / 341 / 341.6 °C
201523 November – 24 December6 / 324 / 320 / 324.1 °C
201424 November – 24 December1 / 315 / 310 / 314.1 °C
201325 November – 24 December13 / 301 / 301 / 301.1 °C
201226 November – 24 December14 / 2911 / 297 / 290.9 °C
201121 November – 24 December6 / 3412 / 344 / 343.6 °C
201022 November – 24 December19 / 3313 / 3310 / 33−1.3 °C
200923 November – 24 December10 / 327 / 323 / 321.8 °C
200824 November – 24 December13 / 317 / 317 / 311.4 °C
200726 November – 24 December14 / 295 / 293 / 291.2 °C
200627 November – 24 December8 / 283 / 280 / 282.8 °C
200521 November – 24 December21 / 347 / 348 / 34−0.4 °C
200422 November – 24 December18 / 333 / 331 / 330.4 °C
200324 November – 24 December10 / 314 / 315 / 311.7 °C
200225 November – 24 December10 / 306 / 300 / 302.3 °C
200126 November – 24 December16 / 298 / 295 / 29−0.5 °C
200027 November – 24 December5 / 286 / 281 / 283.6 °C
199922 November – 24 December16 / 338 / 338 / 331.1 °C
199823 November – 24 December18 / 325 / 326 / 32−0.3 °C
199724 November – 24 December12 / 3110 / 316 / 311.8 °C
199625 November – 24 December17 / 305 / 303 / 300.4 °C
199527 November – 24 December18 / 287 / 285 / 280.4 °C
199421 November – 24 December10 / 346 / 343 / 344.1 °C
199322 November – 24 December10 / 338 / 332 / 332.3 °C
199223 November – 24 December7 / 3210 / 321 / 323.3 °C
199125 November – 24 December19 / 305 / 305 / 30−0.9 °C

How to read these numbers

„vom Montag vor dem 1. Adventssonntag bis zum Heiligen Abend“ — Wikipedia (de): Münchner Christkindlmarkt

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 48.137, 11.575; ERA5 cell centred at 48.25, 11.50 (average ground height of the cell 501 m).

How we calculate