Festival Weather Odds

Augsburg Christkindlesmarkt: how cold and wet are the evenings?

Augsburg Christkindlesmarkt (usually from the Monday before the first Sunday of Advent to 24 December): over 35 seasons from 1991 to 2025, 33% of market evenings (17:00–21:00) had frost, 22% were wet (≥ 0.5 mm) and 14% had snowfall; at least one snowy evening came in 30 of 35 seasons. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus).

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1991–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

33%evenings with frost
22%wet evenings (≥ 0.5 mm)
14%evenings with snowfall
30 / 35seasons with a snowy evening
2.2 °Caverage evening temperature

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Evenings by week of the season

WeekFrostWetMean
131%17%2.6 °C
231%21%2.3 °C
334%25%1.7 °C
435%24%2.0 °C
538%24%2.4 °C

Seasons

YearDatesFrostWetSnowfallMean
202524 November – 24 December10 / 315 / 312 / 312.7 °C
202425 November – 24 December5 / 307 / 302 / 303.2 °C
202327 November – 24 December6 / 2812 / 285 / 282.8 °C
202221 November – 24 December10 / 348 / 345 / 341.6 °C
202122 November – 24 December13 / 3310 / 336 / 331.5 °C
202023 November – 24 December10 / 326 / 324 / 322.0 °C
201925 November – 24 December5 / 306 / 300 / 304.3 °C
201826 November – 24 December7 / 2910 / 294 / 293.9 °C
201727 November – 24 December5 / 2811 / 2810 / 281.9 °C
201621 November – 24 December13 / 341 / 341 / 342.0 °C
201523 November – 24 December6 / 321 / 320 / 324.5 °C
201424 November – 24 December1 / 315 / 310 / 314.5 °C
201325 November – 24 December10 / 302 / 304 / 301.6 °C
201226 November – 24 December11 / 2910 / 2910 / 291.4 °C
201121 November – 24 December4 / 3413 / 344 / 343.9 °C
201022 November – 24 December18 / 3313 / 3312 / 33−0.9 °C
200923 November – 24 December10 / 327 / 326 / 322.1 °C
200824 November – 24 December12 / 317 / 316 / 311.5 °C
200726 November – 24 December13 / 293 / 293 / 291.6 °C
200627 November – 24 December4 / 284 / 280 / 283.6 °C
200521 November – 24 December19 / 345 / 348 / 34−0.1 °C
200422 November – 24 December16 / 334 / 331 / 331.0 °C
200324 November – 24 December8 / 316 / 315 / 312.2 °C
200225 November – 24 December9 / 305 / 300 / 302.8 °C
200126 November – 24 December16 / 299 / 293 / 290.0 °C
200027 November – 24 December5 / 287 / 283 / 284.1 °C
199922 November – 24 December15 / 337 / 337 / 331.5 °C
199823 November – 24 December16 / 327 / 3211 / 320.1 °C
199724 November – 24 December11 / 319 / 316 / 312.0 °C
199625 November – 24 December15 / 305 / 304 / 300.8 °C
199527 November – 24 December17 / 287 / 285 / 280.8 °C
199421 November – 24 December6 / 346 / 343 / 344.6 °C
199322 November – 24 December10 / 338 / 332 / 332.6 °C
199223 November – 24 December6 / 328 / 321 / 323.8 °C
199125 November – 24 December17 / 305 / 305 / 30−0.3 °C

How to read these numbers

„beginnt in der Regel am Montag vor dem 1. Advent und endet am 24“ — Wikipedia (de): Augsburger Christkindlesmarkt

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 48.369, 10.898; ERA5 cell centred at 48.25, 11.00 (average ground height of the cell 538 m).

How we calculate