Festival Weather Odds

Dresden Striezelmarkt: how cold and wet are the evenings?

Dresden Striezelmarkt (from the Wednesday before the first Sunday of Advent (Thursday in 2014–2016) to 24 December): over 35 seasons from 1991 to 2025, 23% of market evenings (17:00–21:00) had frost, 23% were wet (≥ 0.5 mm) and 14% had snowfall; at least one snowy evening came in 30 of 35 seasons. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus).

How it works ↓

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1991–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

23%evenings with frost
23%wet evenings (≥ 0.5 mm)
14%evenings with snowfall
30 / 35seasons with a snowy evening
2.8 °Caverage evening temperature

Evenings by week of the season

WeekFrostWetMean
118%18%3.2 °C
220%22%3.0 °C
325%22%2.7 °C
426%26%2.4 °C
528%32%2.8 °C

Snow falls at the Dresden Striezelmarkt more often than at most German Christmas markets, and the closer it gets to Christmas, the colder and damper the evenings become. If you want to see the market under snow, this is the one for you; if you dread wet weather, aim for the first weeks instead.

Snow at the Striezelmarkt

Snowfall comes on 14% of evenings between 17:00 and 21:00. Only Augsburg matches that, while Frankfurt manages just 5% (all the Christmas markets are in the section). At least one snowy evening occurred in 30 of the 35 seasons. The most wintry year was 2010: frost on 25 of 31 evenings, snowfall on 16, an average of −2.9 °C. The wettest was 2023, with 13 wet evenings out of 26.

The first weeks versus the last

In 2026 the market opens on 25 November at 16:00 and runs until 21:00. From 26 November to 23 December the hours are 10:00–21:00, and on 24 December 10:00–14:00. In the first week frost occurs on 18% of evenings, in the last week before Christmas on 28%; wet evenings rise from 18% to 32%. That is the climate of 35 seasons from ERA5, not a forecast for any particular evening (methodology).

Seasons

YearDatesFrostWetSnowfallMean
202526 November – 24 December2 / 295 / 291 / 294.0 °C
202427 November – 24 December0 / 288 / 282 / 284.5 °C
202329 November – 24 December6 / 2613 / 267 / 263.8 °C
202223 November – 24 December11 / 326 / 327 / 321.8 °C
202124 November – 24 December2 / 319 / 316 / 313.2 °C
202025 November – 24 December2 / 305 / 300 / 304.1 °C
201927 November – 24 December0 / 284 / 280 / 285.6 °C
201828 November – 24 December5 / 278 / 274 / 273.7 °C
201729 November – 24 December3 / 266 / 266 / 263.0 °C
201624 November – 24 December8 / 314 / 311 / 312.5 °C
201526 November – 24 December0 / 293 / 290 / 296.9 °C
201427 November – 24 December4 / 287 / 280 / 285.0 °C
201327 November – 24 December0 / 286 / 283 / 284.1 °C
201228 November – 24 December13 / 278 / 276 / 270.5 °C
201123 November – 24 December0 / 327 / 323 / 324.6 °C
201024 November – 24 December25 / 3112 / 3116 / 31−2.9 °C
200925 November – 24 December10 / 306 / 305 / 302.1 °C
200826 November – 24 December1 / 298 / 294 / 293.8 °C
200728 November – 24 December11 / 274 / 271 / 272.5 °C
200629 November – 24 December0 / 265 / 260 / 266.2 °C
200523 November – 24 December6 / 329 / 326 / 322.1 °C
200424 November – 24 December12 / 311 / 312 / 312.0 °C
200326 November – 24 December7 / 295 / 293 / 293.4 °C
200227 November – 24 December15 / 285 / 284 / 28−0.2 °C
200128 November – 24 December10 / 2710 / 279 / 27−0.2 °C
200029 November – 24 December5 / 263 / 261 / 264.8 °C
199924 November – 24 December7 / 314 / 314 / 313.9 °C
199825 November – 24 December14 / 306 / 307 / 300.5 °C
199726 November – 24 December5 / 2910 / 296 / 292.5 °C
199627 November – 24 December6 / 285 / 285 / 28−0.1 °C
199529 November – 24 December16 / 269 / 266 / 26−0.3 °C
199423 November – 24 December3 / 326 / 324 / 324.4 °C
199324 November – 24 December8 / 3110 / 317 / 312.8 °C
199225 November – 24 December2 / 303 / 302 / 303.1 °C
199127 November – 24 December11 / 289 / 286 / 281.0 °C

How to read these numbers

„beginnt am Mittwoch (2014 bis 2016 am Donnerstag) vor dem ersten Advent“ — Wikipedia (de): Dresdner Striezelmarkt

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 51.050, 13.738; ERA5 cell centred at 51.00, 13.75 (average ground height of the cell 316 m).

How we calculate