Snow falls at the Dresden Striezelmarkt more often than at most German Christmas markets, and the closer it gets to Christmas, the colder and damper the evenings become. If you want to see the market under snow, this is the one for you; if you dread wet weather, aim for the first weeks instead.
Snow at the Striezelmarkt
Snowfall comes on 14% of evenings between 17:00 and 21:00. Only Augsburg matches that, while Frankfurt manages just 5% (all the Christmas markets are in the section). At least one snowy evening occurred in 30 of the 35 seasons. The most wintry year was 2010: frost on 25 of 31 evenings, snowfall on 16, an average of −2.9 °C. The wettest was 2023, with 13 wet evenings out of 26.
The first weeks versus the last
In 2026 the market opens on 25 November at 16:00 and runs until 21:00. From 26 November to 23 December the hours are 10:00–21:00, and on 24 December 10:00–14:00. In the first week frost occurs on 18% of evenings, in the last week before Christmas on 28%; wet evenings rise from 18% to 32%. That is the climate of 35 seasons from ERA5, not a forecast for any particular evening (methodology).