Festival Weather Odds

Tomorrowland: what was the weather like at past editions?

At 17 of 17 editions of Tomorrowland from 2007 to 2025 (100%), at least one festival day had rain (≥ 1 mm); a day of 30 °C or more came at 2 of 17 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 2007–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

17 / 17editions with at least one rainy day
68%of festival days rainy
3 / 17editions with mud (≥ 40 mm incl. the week before)
2 / 17editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
10 °C (2015)coldest night
10 mmmedian rain per edition

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Climate of the usual dates

If the next edition falls on its usual dates (26–28 July), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 23.5 °C in 1991–2005, 23.3 °C in 2011–2025.

Weather at past editions

YearDatesRainy daysRainMaxNight minNote
202525–27 July1 / 311 mm26 °C14 °Clast 3 days of 18–27 July
202426–28 July2 / 34 mm24 °C13 °Clast 3 days of 19–28 July
202328–30 July3 / 318 mm23 °C14 °Clast 3 days of 21–30 July
202229–31 July1 / 34 mm26 °C13 °Clast 3 days of 15–31 July
201926–28 July3 / 324 mm34 °C17 °Clast 3 days of 19–28 July
201827–29 July1 / 37 mm36 °C16 °Clast 3 days of 20–29 July
201728–30 July2 / 35 mm25 °C14 °Clast 3 days of 21–30 July
201622–24 July2 / 318 mm25 °C16 °C—
201524–26 July3 / 318 mm25 °C10 °C—
201425–27 July3 / 310 mm26 °C15 °Clast 3 days of 18–27 July
201326–28 July2 / 321 mm29 °C17 °C—
201227–29 July2 / 324 mm28 °C12 °C—
201122–24 July2 / 36 mm18 °C10 °C—
201025–26 July1 / 22 mm20 °C14 °C—
200926–27 July1 / 22 mm25 °C12 °C—
200827–28 July1 / 25 mm28 °C15 °C—
200728–29 July2 / 219 mm21 °C13 °C—

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 51.092, 4.386; ERA5 cell centred at 51.00, 4.50 (average ground height of the cell 14 m).