Festival Weather Odds

Dour Festival: what was the weather like at past editions?

At 15 of 20 editions of Dour Festival with known dates from 1995 to 2025 (75%), at least one festival day had rain (≥ 1 mm); a day of 30 °C or more came at 3 of 20 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1995–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

15 / 20editions with at least one rainy day
35%of festival days rainy
2 / 20editions with mud (≥ 40 mm incl. the week before)
3 / 20editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
8 °C (2017)coldest night
5 mmmedian rain per edition

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Climate of the usual dates

If the next edition falls on its usual dates (14–17 July), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 21.4 °C in 1991–2005, 22.5 °C in 2011–2025.

Weather at past editions

YearDatesRainy daysRainMaxNight minNote
202517–20 July2 / 45 mm30 °C13 °Clast 4 days of 16–20 July
202418–21 July1 / 45 mm30 °C14 °Clast 4 days of 17–21 July
202313–16 July0 / 41 mm26 °C13 °Clast 4 days of 12–16 July
202214–17 July0 / 41 mm27 °C10 °Clast 4 days of 13–17 July
201911–14 July1 / 46 mm26 °C14 °Clast 4 days of 10–14 July
201812–15 July0 / 40 mm28 °C13 °Clast 4 days of 11–15 July
201713–16 July1 / 42 mm24 °C8 °Clast 4 days of 12–16 July
201614–17 July1 / 44 mm25 °C9 °Clast 4 days of 13–17 July
201516–19 July1 / 412 mm29 °C14 °Clast 4 days of 15–19 July
201417–20 July2 / 420 mm32 °C15 °C—
201318–21 July0 / 40 mm30 °C14 °C—
201212–15 July4 / 435 mm19 °C12 °C—
201114–17 July3 / 422 mm23 °C11 °C—
201015–18 July1 / 41 mm23 °C9 °C—
200916–19 July2 / 416 mm27 °C13 °C—
200817–20 July3 / 410 mm20 °C12 °C—
200712–15 July1 / 42 mm30 °C14 °C—
200211–14 July2 / 46 mm21 °C11 °C—
20015–8 July3 / 442 mm29 °C15 °C—
19957–9 July0 / 30 mm30 °C11 °C—

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 50.405, 3.775; ERA5 cell centred at 50.50, 3.75 (average ground height of the cell 60 m).