Festival Weather Odds

Splash!: what was the weather like at past editions?

At 19 of 25 editions of Splash! with known dates from 1999 to 2025 (76%), at least one festival day had rain (≥ 1 mm); a day of 30 °C or more came at 1 of 25 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1999–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

19 / 25editions with at least one rainy day
50%of festival days rainy
10 / 25editions with mud (≥ 40 mm incl. the week before)
1 / 25editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
7 °C (2015)coldest night
8 mmmedian rain per edition

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Climate of the usual dates

If the next edition falls on its usual dates (11–13 July), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 21.3 °C in 1991–2005, 21.6 °C in 2011–2025.

Weather at past editions

YearDatesRainy daysRainMaxNight minNote
20253–5 July0 / 31 mm29 °C8 °C—
20244–6 July2 / 39 mm29 °C10 °C—
202329 June – 1 July2 / 38 mm25 °C10 °C—
202115–17 July2 / 326 mm24 °C14 °C—
201911–13 July3 / 325 mm21 °C12 °C—
20186–8 July0 / 30 mm23 °C9 °C—
20177–9 July2 / 38 mm28 °C16 °Clast 3 days of 6–9 July
20168–10 July0 / 30 mm28 °C12 °C—
201510–12 July1 / 33 mm24 °C7 °C—
201411–13 July2 / 316 mm21 °C10 °C—
201312–14 July0 / 30 mm20 °C10 °C—
20126–8 July3 / 334 mm26 °C14 °C—
20118–10 July3 / 314 mm27 °C13 °C—
201023–25 July2 / 368 mm19 °C10 °C—
200910–12 July2 / 313 mm20 °C10 °C—
200811–13 July3 / 312 mm27 °C12 °C—
20076–8 July1 / 31 mm21 °C10 °C—
20064–6 August2 / 347 mm19 °C11 °C—
20055–7 August3 / 315 mm21 °C8 °C—
200430 July – 1 August0 / 30 mm26 °C11 °C—
20031–3 August0 / 30 mm32 °C15 °C—
20022–4 August1 / 35 mm26 °C13 °C—
200120–22 July1 / 32 mm24 °C10 °C—
200021–23 July1 / 32 mm22 °C11 °C—
199923–24 July1 / 27 mm17 °C11 °C—

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 50.837, 12.814; ERA5 cell centred at 50.75, 12.75 (average ground height of the cell 436 m).