Festival Weather Odds

Nature One: what was the weather like at past editions?

At 17 of 27 editions of Nature One from 1997 to 2025 (63%), at least one festival day had rain (≥ 1 mm); a day of 30 °C or more came at 3 of 27 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1997–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

17 / 27editions with at least one rainy day
37%of festival days rainy
6 / 27editions with mud (≥ 40 mm incl. the week before)
3 / 27editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
7 °C (2015)coldest night
2 mmmedian rain per edition

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Climate of the usual dates

If the next edition falls on its usual dates (2–4 August), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 24.0 °C in 1991–2005, 23.2 °C in 2011–2025.

Weather at past editions

YearDatesRainy daysRainMaxNight minNote
20251–3 August2 / 311 mm21 °C11 °Clast 3 days of 31 July – 3 August
20242–4 August1 / 36 mm24 °C14 °Clast 3 days of 1–4 August
20234–6 August3 / 317 mm19 °C10 °C—
20225–7 August0 / 30 mm24 °C10 °C—
20192–4 August2 / 35 mm25 °C11 °C—
20183–5 August0 / 30 mm32 °C18 °C—
20174–6 August1 / 31 mm22 °C10 °C—
20165–7 August0 / 30 mm24 °C9 °C—
201531 July – 2 August0 / 30 mm27 °C7 °C—
20141–3 August2 / 39 mm24 °C14 °C—
20132–4 August1 / 31 mm33 °C15 °C—
20123–5 August0 / 31 mm23 °C10 °C—
20115–7 August3 / 319 mm22 °C13 °C—
201030 July – 1 August1 / 36 mm25 °C9 °C—
200931 July – 2 August1 / 32 mm26 °C10 °C—
20081–3 August0 / 31 mm23 °C13 °C—
20073–5 August0 / 30 mm27 °C12 °C—
20064–6 August2 / 38 mm21 °C10 °C—
20055–7 August2 / 35 mm19 °C8 °C—
200430 July – 1 August0 / 30 mm28 °C13 °C—
20031–3 August0 / 30 mm31 °C14 °C—
20022–4 August2 / 34 mm22 °C12 °C—
20013–5 August2 / 39 mm22 °C12 °C—
200028–30 July2 / 312 mm19 °C11 °C—
199930 July – 1 August0 / 30 mm27 °C13 °C—
199831 July – 2 August2 / 312 mm21 °C11 °C—
19971–3 August1 / 32 mm22 °C11 °C—

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 50.043, 7.423; ERA5 cell centred at 50.00, 7.50 (average ground height of the cell 348 m).