Festival Weather Odds

Isle of Wight Festival: what was the weather like at past editions?

At 15 of 20 editions of Isle of Wight Festival with known dates from 2003 to 2025 (75%), at least one festival day had rain (≥ 1 mm); a day of 30 °C or more came at 0 of 20 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

How it works ↓

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 2003–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

15 / 20editions with at least one rainy day
32%of festival days rainy
2 / 20editions with mud (≥ 40 mm incl. the week before)
0 / 20editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
8 °C (2011)coldest night
5 mmmedian rain per edition

Climate of the usual dates

If the next edition falls on its usual dates (13–16 June), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 19.3 °C in 1991–2005, 19.5 °C in 2011–2025.

The Isle of Wight Festival gets mild weather: no heat, and no properly cold nights either. The main question here is rain, and usually it's light. Weather services give you the forecast for specific days; here you get the weather of past editions from ERA5.

Rain, mud and extremes from past editions

32% of festival days are rainy, yet the median rainfall per edition is just 5 mm. Mud (40 mm or more across the festival days and the week before) occurred 2 times out of 20. The wettest edition, 21–24 June 2012, brought rain on 3 days out of 4 and 35 mm: wellies are worth packing. The coldest night, 8 °C in 2011, didn't quite reach the cold-night threshold. The 2021 edition ran 16–19 September: 1 mm, 22 °C.

2027: later than the usual dates

The 2027 festival runs 17–20 June, later than the usual dates of 13–16 June. For the usual dates, the 1991–2025 climate gives a 66% chance of at least one rainy day, 19 °C by day and a 3% chance of a night below 8 °C. The late editions of 2018 and 2024 passed without rainy days, but that isn't a forecast (methodology).

Weather at past editions

YearDatesRainy daysRainMaxNight min
202519–22 June0 / 40 mm27 °C16 °C
202420–23 June0 / 41 mm23 °C12 °C
202315–18 June2 / 48 mm27 °C15 °C
202216–19 June2 / 418 mm26 °C10 °C
202116–19 September1 / 41 mm22 °C13 °C
201913–16 June1 / 44 mm17 °C12 °C
201821–24 June0 / 40 mm23 °C9 °C
20178–11 June1 / 44 mm20 °C13 °C
20169–12 June1 / 45 mm20 °C13 °C
201511–14 June1 / 47 mm24 °C12 °C
201412–15 June1 / 42 mm24 °C12 °C
201313–16 June2 / 48 mm17 °C11 °C
201221–24 June3 / 435 mm19 °C12 °C
201110–12 June2 / 315 mm15 °C8 °C
201011–13 June2 / 317 mm19 °C11 °C
20078–10 June2 / 35 mm22 °C14 °C
20069–11 June0 / 30 mm24 °C14 °C
200510–12 June1 / 32 mm21 °C9 °C
200411–13 June0 / 30 mm24 °C12 °C
200314–15 June1 / 29 mm22 °C12 °C

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 50.708, -1.286; ERA5 cell centred at 50.75, -1.25 (average ground height of the cell 23 m).