Festival Weather Odds

Warsaw Marathon: race-day weather at past editions

Warsaw Marathon: at 9:00 on race day the temperature averaged 11 °C over 33 editions with known dates from 1991 to 2025 (from 3 °C to 16 °C); rain fell during race hours (08:00–14:00) in 2 editions (6%). Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 1991–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

11 °Caverage at 9:00 on race day
2 / 33editions with rain 08–14 h
8 / 33editions with ≥ 20 °C by 14:00
23 °C (1999)warmest race morning–midday

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Climate of the usual dates

Weather around the usual race date (26 September, ± 3 days) in 1991–2025:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 16.4 °C in 1991–2005, 17.3 °C in 2011–2025.

Weather at past editions

YearDate9:00Max 08–14Rain 08–14
202528 September9 °C15 °C0.0 mm
202429 September8 °C14 °C0.0 mm
202324 September13 °C20 °C0.0 mm
202225 September9 °C17 °C0.0 mm
202126 September14 °C19 °C0.0 mm
201929 September14 °C18 °C0.2 mm
201830 September7 °C15 °C0.0 mm
201724 September14 °C17 °C0.0 mm
201625 September10 °C17 °C0.0 mm
201527 September11 °C16 °C0.0 mm
201428 September10 °C17 °C0.0 mm
201329 September5 °C11 °C0.0 mm
201230 September11 °C15 °C0.0 mm
201125 September12 °C20 °C0.0 mm
201026 September14 °C20 °C0.0 mm
200927 September12 °C21 °C0.0 mm
200828 September10 °C16 °C0.0 mm
200723 September12 °C21 °C0.0 mm
200617 September14 °C22 °C0.0 mm
200518 September9 °C16 °C0.0 mm
200419 September12 °C22 °C0.0 mm
200314 September12 °C19 °C0.0 mm
200226 October10 °C12 °C4.9 mm
200130 September10 °C15 °C0.0 mm
19993 October16 °C23 °C0.0 mm
19984 October3 °C5 °C0.0 mm
19975 October13 °C13 °C2.9 mm
199629 September9 °C13 °C0.0 mm
199524 September13 °C17 °C0.0 mm
199425 September16 °C21 °C0.0 mm
199326 September16 °C20 °C0.0 mm
199220 September10 °C16 °C0.0 mm
199122 September8 °C19 °C0.0 mm

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 52.230, 21.011; ERA5 cell centred at 52.25, 21.00 (average ground height of the cell 99 m).