Festival Weather Odds

Ilosaarirock: what was the weather like at past editions?

At 18 of 22 editions of Ilosaarirock from 2002 to 2025 (82%), at least one festival day had rain (≥ 1 mm); a day of 30 °C or more came at 0 of 22 editions. Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus), data to 2025.

Data updated: 2 November 2026 · Sources, licences and data

Calculated 3 November 2026 · weather: ERA5 2002–2025 · edition dates checked 2 November 2026

18 / 22editions with at least one rainy day
42%of festival days rainy
5 / 22editions with mud (≥ 40 mm incl. the week before)
0 / 22editions with a day ≥ 30 °C
7 °C (2019)coldest night
5 mmmedian rain per edition

Climate, not a forecast: these are statistics of past weather, not a forecast for the next edition.

Climate of the usual dates

If the next edition falls on its usual dates (14–16 July), the weather on those calendar days in 1991–2025 gives these odds:

Average daily maximum on these dates: 20.7 °C in 1991–2005, 20.9 °C in 2011–2025.

Weather at past editions

YearDatesRainy daysRainMaxNight min
202518–20 July0 / 30 mm26 °C13 °C
202412–14 July1 / 38 mm23 °C16 °C
202314–16 July1 / 34 mm24 °C13 °C
202215–17 July3 / 322 mm19 °C12 °C
201912–14 July3 / 311 mm15 °C7 °C
201813–15 July0 / 30 mm27 °C14 °C
201714–16 July2 / 35 mm20 °C10 °C
201615–17 July2 / 319 mm21 °C14 °C
201517–19 July2 / 311 mm21 °C11 °C
201411–13 July1 / 31 mm24 °C9 °C
201312–14 July0 / 30 mm23 °C11 °C
201213–15 July3 / 316 mm20 °C14 °C
201115–17 July1 / 32 mm21 °C12 °C
201016–18 July1 / 313 mm26 °C16 °C
200917–19 July1 / 35 mm20 °C11 °C
200811–13 July1 / 313 mm21 °C11 °C
200713–15 July2 / 329 mm21 °C15 °C
200614–16 July0 / 31 mm20 °C13 °C
200515–17 July1 / 31 mm26 °C13 °C
200416–18 July1 / 321 mm22 °C12 °C
200311–13 July1 / 35 mm26 °C17 °C
200212–14 July1 / 32 mm27 °C17 °C

How to read these numbers

Dates and sources

Coordinates: 62.596, 29.736; ERA5 cell centred at 62.50, 29.75 (average ground height of the cell 90 m).